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Hong Kong Institute for Monetary Research

Seventh Annual International Conference on the Chinese Economy

“The Growing Influence of China in the World Economy”

14 January 2016 (Thursday) - 15 January 2016 (Friday)

Room 5608, 56/F, Two International Finance Centre, 8 Finance Street, Central


Programme


14 January 2016
8:30 - 9:00 Registration


9:00 - 10:00 Keynote Speech
Yiping Huang (Peking University and the People’s Bank of China Monetary Policy Committee Member)

10:00 - 10:30 Coffee Break


Morning Session Chaired by Lillian Cheung (Hong Kong Monetary Authority and Hong Kong Institute for Monetary Research)
Session 1 Rebalancing and Potential Growth in China
10:30 - 11:30 The Long Landing Scenario: Rebalancing from Overinvestment and Excessive Credit Growth, and Implications for Potential Growth in China
Cristina Jude* (Banque de France)
Marie Albert (Direction Générale du Trésor)
Cyril Rebillard (International Monetary Fund)

Discussant: Zheng Song (Chinese University of Hong Kong)

11:30 - 12:30 How fast can China grow? The Middle Kingdom’s prospects to 2030
Jeannine Bailliu* (Bank of Canada)
Mark Kruger (Bank of Canada)
Argyn Toktamyssov (Bank of Canada)
Wheaton Welbourn (Bank of Canada)

Discussant: James Yetman (Bank for International Settlements)

12:30 - 13:30 Lunch


Afternoon Session Chaired by Hongyi Chen (Hong Kong Institute for Monetary Research)
Session 2 Economic Spillovers from China
13:30 - 14:30 Towards Recoupling? Assessing the Global Impact of a Chinese Hard Landing through Trade and Commodity Price Channels
Ludovic Gauvin* (EconomiX-CNRS & Banque de France)
Cyril Rebillard (International Monetary Fund)

Discussant: Ivan Roberts (Reserve Bank of Australia)

14:30 - 15:30 Macroeconomic Consequences of the Real-Financial Nexus: Imbalances and Spillovers Between China and The U.S.
Pierre Siklos* (Wilfrid Laurier University)
Ke Pang (Wilfrid Laurier University)

Discussant: David Cook (Hong Kong University of Science and Technology)

15:30 - 16:00 Coffee Break


Session 3 Global and Regional Influence of RMB
16:00 - 17:00 Is RMB increasingly important? A Network Approach
Yinggang Zhou* (Xiamen University)
Yiming Wang (Xiamen University)

Discussant: Yin-Wong Cheung (City University of Hong Kong)

17:00 - 18:00 Exchange Rate Regimes and Market Integration: Evidence from the Dynamic Relations between Chinese Renminbi Onshore and Offshore Markets
Zhixiong Zeng* (Monash University)
Xiaoli Wan (Southwestern University of Finance and Economics)
Yi Jin (Monash University)
Yuruo Yan (Southwestern University of Finance and Economics)

Discussant: Matthew Yiu (Hong Kong Institute for Monetary Research)

18:00 Conference Dinner (By invitation only)


15 January 2016
8:30 - 9:00 Registration


Morning Session Chaired by Matthew Yiu (Hong Kong Institute for Monetary Research)
Session 4 Carry Trade Dynamics and Information Flow between RMB Markets
9:00 - 10:00 Carry Trade Dynamics under Capital Controls: The Case of China
Christopher Balding* (Peking University)
Zhang Xiao (BNP Paribas)

Discussant: Alicia Garcia-Herrero (NATIXIS)

10:00 - 11:00 Information Flow between Forward and Spot Markets: Evidence from the Chinese Renminbi
Jian Yang* (University of Colorado Denver)
Jiadong Tong (Nankai University, Tianjin)
Zijun Wang (University of Texas at San Antonio)

Discussant: Frank Song (University of Hong Kong)

11:00 - 11:30 Coffee Break


11:30 - 13:00 Panel Discussion - “The Growing Influence of China in the World Economy”
Chair:
Lillian Cheung (Hong Kong Monetary Authority and Hong Kong Institute for Monetary Research)

Panelists:
Ivan Roberts (Reserve Bank of Australia)
Frank Song (University of Hong Kong)
Tao Wang (UBS)
Feng Zhu (Bank for International Settlements)

-- End of Conference --


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